Will the opposition parties like NTK, AIADMK, BJP, TVK, etc. form a pre-election alliance in Tamil Nadu on a single agenda of defeating the DMK alliance in the state assembly elections 2026?

No party has a big constant vote share . If it is so no regime change would have taken place.

Corruption: Compared to other Indian states , contesting for mla seats in TN is a very costly affair. For MP seat it will be reaching many times in the coming days. It is a dangerous trend to TN. The political corruption is one of the highest in TN

The next issue looming large on TN is heriditary politics. It was subtle during stalin s ascension but is alarmingly visible in Udayanidhi s case.

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In 2024 some of his predictions went wrong. He said nda will reach > 350. It didn’t happen. He said bjp will cross 10% in TN . It happened.

NTK is a fringe party and not a major player ( I disagree )

The second is religious fundamentalism. Bjp having tasted blood in Loksabha by polling 10+% will channelise more communal disturbances like Kandamalai vs Sikandar hills to further its growth like the northern states . This is a harmful concept for TN

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MIDNIGHT QUESTIONING OF A POLITICAL IDEOLOGIST WILL NOT WEAKEN HIS IDEOLOGY. DOES NOT MATTER IF IT INVOLVES SEXUAL ABUSES.

NTK faced many controversies in the past like this but still kept growing.

Rececently it made scathing &barbaric attacks on a barbaric ex tn leader but yet increased its voteshare from 6.35% in 2023 bypolls to 15.59% in 2025 bypolls in Erode where the barbarian was born.Hence the other parties together are debited with this 15–20 % and likely to share the remaining 80–85% among them.

Hi everybody! I have been looking at posts on narcs and narc abuse on here and if has really helped me out a lot. I am currently struggling with my situation and need some advice/support. I met a narc last year, everything seemed to good to be true. Love bombing, always texting calling and taking me on dates. Everything changed when someone warned me about him out in public in front of him and who he is. This caused a conflict with us and the love bombing seized. he would tell me that everything is okay and i can come and talk. He would set a time limit on me and kick me out after that. he would then text me like everything was fine and we hung out again and after that he completely ghosted me for one week. He came back and texted me a week later laughing about the ghosting and acting like nothing had happened. he continued to text me ( not like in the beginning) make plans with me, then on the day of the plans he would just ghost me. One day he would act interested the next silence. i contacted him a month later and he acted like nothing happened. He was on a vacation and sent me a picture of another woman ( someone he allegedly met on the trip) to strike a reaction but i never gave him one. After the trip he came to my place and was extremely rude, accusing me of going on dates with a bunch of men. The next day he accused me of being an alcoholic and that he wanted nothing to do with me but said well maybe we can be "friends" then ghosted me i assumed at this point it was over and i would never hear from him again. He contacted me on the holiday a month later acting like everything was great. We ended up hanging out a month or so later and when we hung out it went well, i thought things were going in the right direction. after we hung out.. silence. I would try to text him and if he replied it would be very short then he just stopped replying. He ghosted me for almost three months. I thought he was done this time and of course he popped up again like nothing happened. At this point i was getting sick of if so i questioned him as to why he dissapeared and always does this. Of course he had some sob story about a injury and family member dying of cancer. I felt pity for him and he gave me an apology.. so i took him back stupidly. things seemed to be going smooth for a couple months, of course until his family member died and his injury got better he never contacted me and was distant. Menawhile, i was there for him during the difficult time for him. He lied to me about the funeral and never wanted to chat. I was chasing him and he would always claim nothing was wrong but when i said i thought he used me when he was down he could not handle it and would always tell me he didnt care and to go away. I would get so upset i would try texting him to work it out he would barelt respond and if he did he would not be nice about it. we did hang out a couple times after that, he would ignore me after. One day i was like hey i think you are seeing someone else, and i was like well ixam seeing someone so no problem if you are he said " buy bye good luck with your new guy stop contacting me" i was devastated and tried to get into contact with him for weeks then i just gave up and accepted it was over. He ended up contacting me a month later acting like everything was fine. He wanted to go out and have drinks i told him i would. He and i both seemed to have a great time. He ends up ignoring me again. I kept texting him trying to figure out what was wrong. He kept saying everything was fine and i said ok can we hang out again? He said maybe i was like why? He just kept saying maybe … our last conversation we had… i said what is wrong ? He said nothing is wrong everything is fine. I asked him why he keeps saying maybe. He said " maybe but i dont want to see you right now" i said why? He saix " im just not feeling it, if i wanted to date i would" i said why did you contact me less then a week ago wanting to go out? He said i didnt.. even though he did. So i said should i just move on or what? He said whatever you want to do. So i said that he was really confusing me and asked him if he had anything more to say before i move on? My messages were turning green so i panicked he blocked me and reacted irrationally. I said " omg did you block me? My messages are not going through. Even texted him on my work phone asking what was up. And called him twice ( please dont judge me i know it is pathetic i never was this type of girl before him) so he replied and said " Ok I'll block you now" then immedietly blocked me. He has never blocked me before since I have met him he will just ghost. Is this ths final discard aka " grand finale? Did i just push him too far? this has upset me so much its hard to even function.

BJP allaiance with Admk will pull down the voteshare of both the parties. Such an alliance will provide the ground for Vijay s rise .

Contrary to the belief even multiparty contests have led to the defeat of the ruling party.There is no guarantee that dmk allaiance will retain its Loksabha or 2021 assembly vote share.

If bjp+ admk are aligning, Vijay has a bright chance provided he does active political touring and campaigning.

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All is not well in dmks camp. It has not registered a second consecutive term in its political history except 1971 when MGR was in it . The only advantage Stalin enjoys is the divided opposition.

We can not depend on him entirely. But we also cannot deny the fact that he is more relevant to TN politics than national politics.Dmk fed him that knowledge with huge money. He has emitted a broad spectrum of light on TN political landscape which is rapidly changing in the past 8 months. Now he is using his ground knowledge of TN against dmk for an ambitious plan to strengthen TVK as well as his Suraj party in Bihar.

He says Vijay will go solo (without the alliance of Admk) and might topple the dmk government and he will be assisting vijay as an associate in the larger political development after the election to Bihar is over in December.

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NTK WILL GO ALONE AND CAPTURE MIN 15–20 % VOTES IN 2026 ASSEMBLY POLLS

There is no reason to believe that vijay will split only anti dmk voters . He may likely to split the pro dmk vote also due to the heavy anti incumbency building against Stalin due to unfulfilled promises.

Three challenges facing TN are

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He concluded his interview by saying if at all TVK decides on an alliance it will be after his return from Bihar in December.

If admk goes alone, it will be advantageous to dmk in 2026.

Dmk has won the 2021 elections on some sky high promises which can not be implemented.

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Mr Prashant Kishore made many observations on the political landscape, prevailing at present in TN in the capacity of an ex strategist for dmk in 2021

Annamalai is a rebel leader. There are many constraints for him in bjp , an established party.

He throws some interesting tit bits on his association with Vijay. He says it is mutually beneficial to his own party in Bihar. He feels Biharis are addicted to Telugu movies. Vijay too commands a decent following in Bihar and will be useful to his Suraj party s campaign in Bihar

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Even if dmk allaiance wins, it’s majority will be minuscule.

Recently this Bihari politician and Ex political strategist of dmk was present in Chennai city

PK observes:

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If people decided to topple the ruling government they don’t see the multi party contest as a factor

It is difficult for a rebel leader to continue in an established party like bjp or congress.

It is my humble opinion that dmk will find the going very tough in 2026 and may lose to Admk alliance or Vijay with Seeman s Ntk playing as a big spoiler.

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